History is repeating itself in the most dangerous fashion in Pakistan. In an eerie parallel with Muhammad Zia-ul-Haq’s ascent to power in the 1970s, Pakistan’s current Chief of the Army Staff Asim Munir appears to have taken a few pages from his predecessor’s book. The military has established itself once again as the most powerful institution in the nation.
The state of civil military relations in Pakistan is troubling for a myriad of reasons. For starters, in a healthy democracy the military should subordinate itself to civilian control. However, since Pakistan’s inception, the military has a long standing history of political intervention credited to weak political institutions, inadequate political leadership, and entrenchment of civil military bureaucracy. Such issues with Pakistan’s civil military relations can be traced back to British colonial policies. British generals continued to head Pakistan's military until 1951, when the authority was transferred to General Ayub Khan, who became Pakistan’s second president through a military coup.
While the nation has always had a strong military presence, it has had weak political institutions that have failed to establish an effective political and constitutional system. This has seriously handicapped the government’s ability to properly respond to the multitude of external and internal challenges that the country faces. In this power vacuum, the bureaucratic military elite have been able to increase their authority and power over the country’s political elite. They have been able to garner so much influence, that despite the civilian government’s inability to control them, the country’s army stands out as the most trusted institution - with more than 80 percent public approval.
Recent examples of the military’s dominant role in the Pakistani political and economic sphere include the previous Prime Minister Imran Khan granting General Bajwa a position as a member of the government’s National Development Council in 2020. Additionally, Bajwa met privately with top business leaders to discuss ways to aid the failing economy, increasing the military’s role in the economic and political issues that were plaguing the nation. The then Prime Minister Imran Khan’s desire to work with the military through political concessions shows the inherent tension in civil-military relations in Pakistan.
The true show of the overly politically involved Pakistani military happened in April 2023, when former Prime Minister Imran Khan was ousted from power after a vote of no confidence from the General Assembly. His removal from office was clear to all that it was not a matter of his incompetence or supposed corruption, but rather because the army felt threatened by his brazen imperative to disagree with them. At this point, tensions between Bajwa and Khan were at an all time high due to an ongoing dispute following Khan’s refusal to endorse the appointment of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) chief that Bajwa wanted. In May 2023, Imran Khan was arrested, despite his protests that the Army was behind threats against his life and that prominent military leaders were behind ongoing plots against him. Khan’s arrest is not unusual in Pakistan’s political history - with the past five prime ministers having been either indicted or imprisoned after leaving office. In an ironic twist, Khan rose to power in 2018 due to the military’s support and saw himself removed from office in 2022 when he lost their approval. As the Carnegie Endowment For International Peace put it, “where the Pakistan Army’s will exists, it carries, and typically persists no matter the consequences.”
Since Khan’s arrest, protests have shaken the country and the military has cracked down in terrifying ways. In June 2023, the new Chief of Staff Asim Munir fired three high ranked commanders and punished another fifteen for their conduct during pro-Imran Khan protests. Additionally, protestors from Khan’s party PTI have accused the military of human rights violations while being held in custody. Most recently, in March 2024 protests erupted once again over what many believe to have been a rigged election. The police have been accused of launching brutal retaliations to these protests and arresting over one hundred protestors in the process.
The precarious state of Pakistan’s democracy is concerning for the future of the nation. Without healthy civil-military relations and a stable democracy, the country can never implement much needed policy reforms. Pakistan can never be a nation that serves its citizens if it remains in the clutches of a corrupt military that chooses its own power over the best interests of the people.
